From day one, America and Europe were not after defending Ukraine but dismantling Russia.

On the first anniversary of the beginning of the Russian-Ukrainian war, I was invited by Dun Ġwann Farrugia to his TV programme to discuss this conflict. In the programme, I stated that the Western interest is not Ukraine but the dismantlement of Russia into a number of small states. Russia is a federation of states, and America wants to turn them into separate and independent nation-states. Thus, on one side, we listen to academic discussions from the EU that the nation-state is now passé, and on the other hand, America wants to introduce the nation-state principle in Russia. Thus, what America wants to achieve by this war is to reduce the biggest country in the world into insignificance.

Malta should stir out of all this madness. We need to consider our interests as the Americans are doing. They are after their interest first and foremost. Malta’s interest does not come into play here. Russia was never an enemy of the Maltese nation and has no interest to attack Malta.

This article in The Daily Telegraph confirms my analysis. This war’s main aim is to destroy Russia and not to safeguard the principles of demography in Ukraine.

From the moment the first bullets were fired in the Ukraine conflict, Western support for Kyiv has been constrained by needless concerns about the impact it might have on Russia.

Rather than doing everything in our power to ensure a Ukrainian victory, there has been a marked reluctance to provide the equipment they need to achieve supremacy on the battlefield. From tanks to warplanes, long-range missiles to replenishing basic ammunition stocks, Western allies have all-too-often looked for reasons not to act.

And when it looks, as it did towards the end of last year, as though the Ukrainian forces are on the brink of achieving a major breakthrough, Kyiv has been warned not to be over-ambitious in its war aims, especially in terms of its ultimate objective of liberating Crimea from Russian occupation.

Concerns have even been raised about the fate that might befall Moscow in the event of Ukraine winning an outright victory, with British luminaries such as the Most Rev Justin Welby, the Archbishop of Canterbury, pleading that Russia must not be crushed like Weimar Germany in any future peace deal.

Such reservations are not only misplaced: they entirely fail to grasp how important it is for the survival of the free world that Russia suffers a catastrophic defeat – one from which it should take decades to recover.

By launching his unprovoked invasion last year, Vladimir Putin laid down a deliberate challenge to the international system established at the end of the Second World War, which upholds the sovereign integrity of the nation state. In addition, he and his nationalist acolytes have committed war crimes on an industrial scale, a fact now recognised by the International Criminal Court which recently issued an arrest warrant for the Russian president.

If, due to the irrational equivocation of Kyiv’s Western allies, Putin actually succeeded in achieving his war aims, just imagine the encouragement this would lend to other hostile states, such as China, Iran and North Korea, to pursue their own aggressive agendas.

Moreover, at a moment when many non-aligned countries are openly questioning whether they are witnessing the collapse of Western hegemony, anything that resembles success for the invaders in Ukraine would confirm their suspicions that the West no longer has the appetite or strength to protect its interests.

Still, one of the many fears expressed by Western analysts in recent months is that, if Moscow suffered a devastating defeat, it might lead to the collapse of Russia itself, with Putin’s dream of re-establishing the Russian Empire replaced by the country’s fragmentation into a mosaic of ethnic enclaves. It is currently a federation that could indeed be much more fragile than it looks.

Russia’s disintegration would certainly benefit China which, for all the bonhomie exhibited by Xi Jinping during his state visit to Moscow this week, casts covetous eyes on the 600,000sq km of formerly Chinese territory around the port of Vladivostok – annexed by Russia in 1860 at the end of the Second Opium War.

Xi and Putin might boast in public about the “no limits” strategic partnership they agreed prior to the invasion of Ukraine, but the body language visible at their joint public appearances made it clear that Xi is the dominant partner in the relationship, to the extent that Putin meekly conceded to his guest, “We envy you a little bit.”

Beijing, while giving the appearance of supporting Putin’s disastrous war, understands that its real interest is to exploit Russian weakness for its own advantage, whether by securing discounted oil supplies or territorial concessions. In future, this exploitation will be encouraged by the knowledge that, thanks to the heroism of Ukraine’s military forces, a depleted Moscow no longer has the ability to defend itself.

So rather than fretting about the potential consequences of a Russian defeat, Western leaders should adopt a similarly hard-nosed approach and ramp up their support for Ukraine, even if it ultimately results in the collapse of the Russian state. It was not that long ago, after all, that the West had to deal with the collapse of the Soviet Union, which reduced Moscow to impotence and penury.

Furthermore, given the malign intent Putin has consistently displayed towards the West, from meddling in American presidential elections to assassinating defectors on British soil, no one should mourn the demise of the Russian leader himself, even if it creates a new set of security challenges for the Western alliance.

If Russia could rebuild itself after experiencing the trauma of the collapse of the Iron Curtain, it can do so again after suffering defeat in Ukraine. And in the meantime, the West will have had ample opportunity to prepare to deal with any fallout that ensues from the implosion of Putin’s police state.

These or any other consequences of a Russian defeat do not mean we should dilute our support for Ukraine. On the contrary, it is time we recognised that a defeated and demoralised Russia would help to reassert Western standing in world affairs.

2 thoughts on “From day one, America and Europe were not after defending Ukraine but dismantling Russia.

  1. Yes that was always the aim – but as I have always stated in my articles this ambition was based on hubris and ignorance. Today it is not Russia that is growing weaker but the West, most particularly the EU. Despite the historic number of sanctions, not only has Russia brushed them off but is now actually registering economic growth – in the meantime the EU is deindustrialising fast, its banks are collapsing as they sit on unsustainable levels of junk debt. Russia has a real economy – it is in fact an autarky – while we in the West have a speculative economy and speculative economies by their nature cannot survive in times of duress. Neither does Russia really need China but actually it is the other way around. China knows that had Russia to fall, it would be next – furthermore China lags technologically behind Russia in the defining weaponry of modern warfare – from hypersonic weapons to Electronic warfare – weapons that it will need to stand a chance in facing off the United States. What the west thanks to its incompetent and arrogant leaders have managed to achieve is to unify the country with the worlds largest deposits of natural resources, and cutting edge technology to the country with the largest population which also happens to be the factory of the world. What we are witnessing is the birth of an incredible Eurasian power that will redifine the centre of global power – and we in Europe in particular will be the greatest losers. Far from Russia collapsing, it is the EU that faces collapse and returned to nation states with divergent interests. As for Malta – we have become once again a colony which will eventually starve – and eat stones given that our economy is entirely speculative and now we have made ourselves enemies of both Russia and China – against our very own constitution and without any democratic mandate. We will pay for our folly – for having backed the wrong horse when we never needed to back any horse in race that never concerned us. Romegas.

  2. This coughlin is typical of the Western elite who have NO REAL UNDERSTANDING of Russia but simply project their own delusional and warped understanding onto it. These people are cretins who see everything in childish balck and white. They think they will win if they just depose Putin, just as they thought they would win if they deposed Saddam or Ghaddafi – they have no understanding that Putin is the head of an entire GOVERNMENT – which has the backing of over 75% of its population. If Putin had to go, someone else will simply step in his shoes – and that someone would most probably be even more determined to crush the West. No Russia is not losing in the Ukraine – Russia has crushed Ukraine – which would not survive a single day further if Western money dries up – Russia is now using the battlefield in Ukraine to defeat and demilitarise NATO – an objective which it is carrying out fine enough without impacting its own economy. We can all see the squeals now on nearly a daily basis of the West running out of weapons and ammunition to send to the Ukraine – Russia has time on its side – Ukraine and NATO do not. Russia is also winning the Economic aspect of the war and this will become increasingly clear for all to see in the months to come. The only thing the west is winning in is in propaganda – the only remaining thing that it is truly capable of. But propaganda eventually wears out – because it will become increasingly at odds with reality. Romegas.

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